Isaac Chin in Denmark on his recent trip to Europe.IN LESS THAN a month, we will be celebrating Singapore's 48th National Day. I was a Secondary 3 student when Singapore gained independence in 1965.
Most Singaporeans of my generation are already retired, with grown-up children and grandchildren.
I have just returned from a long trip to Norway,Sweden, Finland and Denmark. This was my 7th free-and-easy trip to Europe in the last 10 years, and was one of the most enjoyable journeys.
Isaac on his 7th trip to Europe recently. My wife and I travelled around by train and coach, and we also went on a cruise.
However during this trip, the world financial market abruptly corrected with the STI down > 10%.
Isaac on his 7th trip to Europe recently. My wife and I travelled around by train and coach, and we also went on a cruise. However during this trip, the world financial market abruptly corrected with the STI down > 10%.
Policy statements by the FED on QE tapering has caused the panic in the stock market, and the impact was greatest especially in Spore and HK where enormous foreign funds were parked.
The uncertainty in China's economy,geopolitical risk in the Middle East, and the recovery in U.S.economy have caused the sudden and sharp rise of the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield to 2.5%.
Gold prices have collapsed to below US$1,300 and funds have flowed back to the U.S., a phenomenon reminiscent of the 'carry-trade' in the last Asian Financial Crisis.
On a personal level, I still attained a return of 25% between 4 June 2012 to 1 July 2013 (as against STI gain of 16%) despite the sharp market pull back from the 22 May 2013 high.
I owe this relatively sound performance to correct stock picks. I have concentrated on SPH, SingPost, Star Hub, A Reit, Suntec Reit, Mapletree and have varied the composition of these stocks according to changing circumstances and exercising debt leverage only in a real crisis.
SPH and StarHub were bought after 4 June 2012, hence I do not record their prices as at 4/6/12 in the table (on the right).
As for Mapletree Logistics, I sold it x 387 lots x $1.285 compared to my purchase price of $1.06, and then bought into Mapletree Greater China Commercial at $1.04 a share.
My current shares and short-term corporate bonds still yield > 6% per annum, which is 350 basis points > SGS 10-year bond yield.
The market is consolidating at this moment, but STI could hit 3400 again by year-end.
On Singapore properties, I think an asset bubble has formed. I was told a Chinatown shop has changed hands 6X in the last 6 years with the last sale price being $12 million (from $2 million at its first transaction).
Leasehold condos in Jurong were launched at >$1500 psf.
Most property investors, particularly first-timers, have not seen a property market in a previous down cycle when interest rate was high, the over-supply was large and job retrenchments were rampant.
I wish all Singaporeans more good years ahead.
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Comments
to share is that besides financial independence,
life is not complete without good health and happiness.
Which is it?
DBS Vickers.
I have purchased mainly dividend stocks in
the last 13 years as a professional investor.
I received passive income about 300 K pa from rent,div,int, not bad for my age.
I am currently 10% equity, 90% cash n 0 bonds and would like to have some bonds.
May I know how to get access to shui on bonds prices and how/where to deal?
50% Property,30% Equity,10% Bonds n Cash,
10% Insurance.
I buy mainly short term corporate bonds,
eg Shui On x 3 yrs x Interest 8% p.a.
Denomination x 250k .
I cut losses whenever necessary,depen ding
on situations. Remember that those who swim
against the wave will be submerged.
Look like your bet on maple china commercial is down by 10%. Have you cut losses?
which trading house do you use for bonds and share?
the denomination for bonds is 250K minimum?
only highlight it as a weak share.
the last time was when I sold all my holdings
in A Reit x 399 lots x 2.82
I have handled my fund the way Bruce Lee used
the Nunchakus.
My net liquid asset remained unchanged, but
the composition of bonds,shares,ca sh has varied.
I will use my open credit line,about $4M if
STI falls below 2700 say.
congrat to such a good performance.
just wonder whether the 25% gain is bet jun and july? if this is the case the gain is even more fantastic. by the way are you increasing yr cash or increasing the share exposure now?
do advise exercising debt leverage only in a real crisis?
chinsoonyuen