• He cites a “vanity versus sanity” argument: a large order book is vanity if it earns very little profit. • Injecting jokes and Hokkien and Singlish flavoured expressions, the self-described "Ah Beng" shares his business acumen developed through decades of hands-on work:
• Following the recent FY2026 results briefing, CGS International's report adjusts some of its previous forecast metrics (such as revenue) and delves into the company's expansion into Malaysia. • While Lum Chang Creations exhibits strong margins, net cash, superior ROE, earnings growth and an attractive dividend yield, CGS' ~100% upside in its 64-cent target price looks aggressive -- until big order wins and strong profits actually arrive. Read excerpts of its report below ..... |
Excerpts from CGS report
Analysts: Then Wan Lin & Natalie Ong
■ We raise our FY6/27F order win assumptions to S$170m (from S$140m), as we believe there are opportunities for LUCC to win tenders in Malaysia.
■ Niche project mix and execution should support elevated FY27F/28F GPM of c.29%/28% (FY26: c.35%), higher than FY23-25 average of c.20%. |
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| Malaysia expansion to support strong tender pipeline |
We came away from Lum Chang Creations' (LUCC) FY6/26 results briefing on 2 Sep more positive on its order win momentum across both Singapore and Malaysia.
As such, we raise our FY27F order win assumption from S$140m to S$170m, which could support an order book of c.S$180m for end-FY27F.
In Singapore, management sees a healthy pipeline of public and private opportunities, including Alexandra Hospital, Queenstown Library, car showrooms, offices and Good Class Bungalow (GCB) projects.
Meanwhile, Lum Chang Interior Malaysia has begun bidding for conservation projects after securing unlimited tender qualification in Mar 26; management sees potential revenue recognition from FY27F should these tenders convert.
Based on our channel checks, Malaysia now offers a sizeable addressable pool of conservation and refurbishment projects, with some opportunities comparable in scale to those in Singapore.
Over the longer term, beyond private sector projects, management is also exploring partnerships with Bumiputera contractors to access Malaysia’s public sector project pipeline.
|
S$’000 |
FY2022 |
FY2023 |
FY2024 |
FY2025 |
FY2026 |
|
Revenue |
14,036 |
39,430 |
58,973 |
113,550 |
101,573 |
|
GP |
1,802 |
8,258 |
10,652 |
22,381 |
36,042 |
|
PBT |
593 |
5,712 |
6,783 |
16,504 |
28,084 |
|
Net Profit |
503 |
4,536 |
4,723 |
12,911 |
22,262 |
| Margins to remain structurally high, despite normalisation ahead |
LUCC recorded GPM of c,.35% in FY26 as a result of favourable project close-outs and a higher mix of conservation works, which we view as partly one-off.
Going forward, we expect GPM to normalise but remain elevated at c.28-29% for FY27F-28F (above the historical run-rate of c.20% for FY23-25), due to the structurally higher margin profile of its niche project mix of conservation projects, alongside direct procurement and in-house execution capabilities.
We raise our FY27F/28F EPS by +2%/+8% to S$25.2m/S$29.4m, on higher margin assumptions, offsetting our conservative revenue recognition forecasts. |
→ See also:LUM CHANG CREATIONS: What's Interesting About This Stock: Bonus Shares, Mainboard Move, Double-Digit Profit Growth, 28% Upside

