Excerpts from Deutsche Bank report

Analysts: Joy Wang & Chien-Fie Man

Where are stocks heading?

Despite the strong performance of the physical residential market, Singapore developers have underperformed over the last month.

We believe that the 
divergence in performance reflects
1) increased concerns regarding potential 
government measures in response to rapid ASP growth;
2) increased concerns 
about uncertainty on the interest rate outlook and
3) lowered risk tolerance as a 
result of ongoing macro events.

TheNavianThe recently-launched Navian: A freehold six-storey condo in Jalan Eunos by Roxy-Pacific Holdings. Artist's illustrationWhile we think investors could remain uncertain 
on the developers in the near term, we see a lengthening of the current virtual cycle for the Singapore residential property market.

We also believe that policy 
measures are unlikely in the near term, especially with HDB re-sale pricing yet to bottom.

Indeed, with the bulk of the en-bloc money yet to be released and 
existing supply yet to be demolished, we are probably just at the beginning of this cycle.

We reiterate our positive stance on the developers City Developments 
and UOL Group, our top picks.

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Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.3600.010
Best World2.440-0.040
Boustead Singapore0.9600.010
Broadway Ind0.128-0.001
China Aviation Oil (S)0.9100.005
China Sunsine0.410-
ComfortDelGro1.4600.010
Delfi Limited0.900-
Food Empire1.320-
Fortress Minerals0.3200.005
Geo Energy Res0.305-0.010
Hong Leong Finance2.4900.010
Hongkong Land (USD)2.8500.030
InnoTek0.535-
ISDN Holdings0.295-0.010
ISOTeam0.0430.004
IX Biopharma0.045-0.003
KSH Holdings0.250-
Leader Env0.0500.002
Ley Choon0.043-
Marco Polo Marine0.069-0.002
Mermaid Maritime0.139-0.003
Nordic Group0.315-0.010
Oxley Holdings0.0890.001
REX International0.135-0.002
Riverstone0.795-0.010
Southern Alliance Mining0.445-0.005
Straco Corp.0.485-
Sunpower Group0.210-
The Trendlines0.069-
Totm Technologies0.022-0.001
Uni-Asia Group0.8250.005
Wilmar Intl3.3800.010
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.770-0.010
 

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