How to detect early sign of trouble in companies.

  • Kaypoh
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12 years 5 months ago #9490 by Kaypoh
If the CEO Owns a Yacht, Should You Sell the Stock?

Published: Monday, 11 Jun 2012
By: Robert Frank
CNBC Reporter & Editor

In the past, investors rarely cared much about off-the-job spending by CEOs. Who cared if the top dogs indulged in a yacht or Ferrari? It's their money, they can do what they want, right?

New research suggests that the yacht and Ferrari habits of CEOs could indeed be relevant to investors.

A National Bureau of Economic Research working paper by Robert Davidson, Aiyesha Dey and Abbie J. Smith found that companies run by free-spending CEOs are more likely to have accounting fraud, financial restatements and value-destroying deals.

Specifically, the paper looked at CEOs who owned a boat larger than 25 feet, a car priced at more than $75,000 or a home valued at more than twice the local median average. These CEOs, labeled “un-frugals,” were more likely to have material reporting errors at the companies they ran or other financial problems.

Think Dennis Kozlowski of Tyco or Sanjay Kumar of Computer Associates, both of whom had large homes and yachts.

By contrast, frugal CEOs were more likely to have tighter financial controls and reporting systems at their companies, according to the research.

“Companies run by un-frugal CEOs are significantly more likely to engage in large acquisitions, to invest less in long-term organic growth, to operate assets in place less efficiently, to generate inferior subsequent accounting and stock-return per dollar of corporate investment, and to go bankrupt, suggesting a pattern of low frugality with regard to the stewardship of corporate resources,” the paper said.

The paper also found that un-frugal CEOs were more likely to have less independent corporate boards.

Granted, the research is preliminary. There are plenty of companies run by free-spending CEOs that do just fine. Consider Oracle, whose CEO Larry Ellison is famous for his mansion-buying habit and his large yacht. Oracle is doing just fine.

What’s more, there's no evidence in the paper that non-frugal CEOs are personally involved in fraud more often. It’s just that their companies are more prone to restatements and financial problems.

Robert Davidson, one of the study’s authors, said that there are two possible explanations for why companies run by free-spending CEOs are more likely to have restatements.

The “leisure theory” is that CEOs are too busy driving their fancy cars or cruising on their yachts to bother with constant details at the office. Toys can be distracting. And while CEOs may think they can run the company just as well from the Feadship, oftentimes they can’t.

The other explanation is the “lifestyle” theory. A CEO who needs large wealth and income to sustain his personal spending might place huge demands on the company for growth and profits. Sometimes those demands might be unrealistic, causing the CFO or others to push the envelope when it comes to reporting or accounting standards.

Mr. Davidson said it’s easier to explain why companies run by “frugals” – CEOs who don’t buy luxury toys – tend to stay out of trouble.

“We find that if people carefully monitor their own spending and are restrained in their own decision making, they will do the same on the job,” he said. "They tend to run a very tight ship."

Warren Buffett would certainly agree.

Why do you think companies run by free-spending CEOs tend to get into trouble more?

-By CNBC's Robert Frank

www.cnbc.com/id/47767189

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  • Thunder&Lightning
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12 years 5 months ago #9491 by Thunder&Lightning
Replied by Thunder&Lightning on topic Re:How to detect early sign of trouble in companies.
If you shift your mind away from corporates to the country of Singapore -- you will see that our CEO has been a conservative, prudent and rational spender on a personal level. It also reflects how our national wealth has been managed and has been prudently grown. Agree, hor?

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  • Pixie
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12 years 5 months ago #9494 by Pixie
Maybe Yangzijiang Shipbuilding belongs to the 'clean' category, going by the reported lifestyle of the chairman .
YANGZIJIANG'S chairman eschews the high life

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  • cheongwee.
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12 years 5 months ago - 12 years 5 months ago #9496 by cheongwee.
Yes, there is some truth in this, but at the end of the day, it is all about uprighteousness, and honesty of the management. If they want to cheat, there are no way to stop them.
 
That is why to buy penny , this the risk u have to take, That is why, when there are huge volume selling, you sell first and talk later, because big stake holder know first what we small invester don't. They know thing is bad, thus they sell. you must follow too, dont wait. Even for those who long some stock and see this happening,,,, dont hestitate, sell first fast.
 
Look at Celestial, look at Gao xian.. if you have join in the selling initially, you would have save yourself some heartaches and happy man today. Dont hope against hope. If this happen it is fat hope already.
 
I advise one of my friend to sell, but she refuse, luckily she lost some 90K only. She is ok, she can afford to loss that, but not for dsome here, I feel sorry for some of you. But we must learn this lesson, and never let it happen again for you, otherwise , you really loss.
 
that is why i told ppl not to long s-chip, we have lot of good solid penny here to long. We are spoil for choices for good penny in SGX, so why s-chip.
 
Got one guy said he long Ezion, i forgot who, this is a good stock. Potential blue chip in the making. Long it, i dont mind., jmo...pls buy at your risk.
 
Use the coming rally in s-chip to get out.
 
i wish all profit till Q4.
Last edit: 12 years 5 months ago by cheongwee..

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