THE CONTEXT

 
• Nanofilm Technologies (market cap: S$519 million) is a Singapore-listed specialist in advanced nanotechnology coatings that improve the durability, performance and functionality of products ranging from smartphones and smartwatches to industrial equipment and semiconductor components.

• After several challenging years, the company is showing signs of a financial recovery --- revenue rose 4% to S$187 million in 9M2026, while EBITDA jumped 26% to S$54 million.

•  More encouragingly, its 3Q gross profit margin reached 45%, up five percentage points, thanks to automation, tighter cost controls and more efficient operations, despite sluggish sales in its core consumer business.

(SGD m)

FY24

FY25

FY26E

FY27E

Revenue

204.3

244.6

262.2

288.6

Cost of sales

-128.4

-156.1

-154.7

-166.0

Gross profit

75.9

88.4

107.5

122.7

Profit before tax

9.6

13.2

30.6

41.0

PATMI

7.7

11.8

20.8

28.6

Source: Bloomberg, Company, OCBC Research


•  
Growth is increasingly coming from newer businesses, including micro-lens-array sensors for smartwatches and coating equipment used in manufacturing AI-related printed circuit boards, while a major smartphone coating programme has finally ramped up to full capacity.

•  The outlook for 2027 is promising.

Analysts expect further earnings growth as these businesses expand, although a sustained recovery will depend partly on winning a new substrate coating programme for a major customer.


• 
Read excerpts of OCBC's report below .....



Excerpts from OCBC Research report
Analyst: Lai Gene Lih, CFA
 

Delivering on margin expansion

• 9M26 EBITDA of c.SGD54m (+c.26% YoY) was in line with our expectations, as strong margin expansion offset softer-than-expected Advanced Materials – Consumer (AMC) revenue

NANOFILM

Share price: 
$0.80

Target: 
$1.35

• Consequently, we cut FY26-28E revenue by 6%; FY26-28E PATMI are unchanged as we adjust margin assumptions upwards

• Maintain fair value (FV) of SGD1.35, based on FY27E price-to-earnings (P/E). Reiterate BUY



Investment thesis

We see Nanofilm (NTI) as a compelling operating leverage story entering its payoff phase.

Following a sustained period of heavy investments, the quality and breadth of growth is improving across existing and new customer accounts.

NanoFilmBeyond continued expansion within its core consumer domains, NTI continues to strengthen its proposition in highly attractive end-markets such as semiconductor tools, data centre and co-packaged optics (CPO).

As we see this to be a multi-year earnings expansion story, execution should be evaluated based on the broader horizon of NTI’s progress in establishing a definitive foothold across these diversified domains.

As progress may be non-linear, episodic share price pullbacks should be viewed as opportunities to BUY dips.
  

Investment summary

• 9M26 EBITDA in line – 9M26 revenue of SGD187m (+4% YoY; 67% of our previous FY26E forecast) missed our expectations.

Notwithstanding, EBITDA of c.SGD54m (+c.26% YoY) was in line (forming 74% of our previous FY26E). 3Q26 revenue grew 2% YoY to SGD74m, as strong growth in the Industrial Equipment Business Unit (IEBU, +66% YoY) on AI printed circuit board (PCB) drill bit coating equipment and the Nanofabrication Business Unit (NFBU, +120% YoY) on micro-lens array (MLA) sensor demand was partly offset by AMC (-19% YoY) on substrate changes at the key customer and the flagship ramp-up being delayed to late 3Q26.

Broker

Target Price (S$)

Basis

OCBC

1.35

31× FY27E P/E

DBS

1.12

26× FY27F P/E

UOB Kay Hian

1.09

24× FY27F P/E



• Margins improve despite softer topline – 3Q26 gross margin rose 5ppt YoY to 45%, while EBITDA margin rose 5ppt YoY to 32%, which management attributes to automation and operational optimisation. For 9M26, gross and EBITDA margins were 41% and 29% respectively, both up 5ppt YoY.

• Transitory AMC softness; other segments buoyant – Management expects AMC smartphone contributions to soften temporarily, partly cushioned by the flagship programme, which is now at full capacity.

Engineering development on new substrates for a major component has commenced, targeting mass production in 2027, when the Advanced Materials Business Unit (AMBU) is expected to return to YoY growth, although the programme has yet to be secured.

Elsewhere, rising AI demand should drive further IEBU orders for PCB drill bit coating equipment, while NFBU has clear revenue visibility on its key smartwatch MLA programme into 1H27.

NFBU is looking to harvest across other brands and technology platforms, first from smartphones and watches, followed by automotive and smart eyewear.



Maintain BUY with FV of SGD1.35 (31x FY27E)

Following the softer AMC topline, we cut FY26-28E revenue forecasts by 6%. 

Lai Gene LihLai Gene Lih, CFA, analystHowever, we keep FY26-28E PATMI unchanged as we raise our margin assumptions to reflect stronger operating leverage.

Consequently, our FV estimate is unchanged at SGD1.35, still pegged to 31x FY27E P/E, or 1 standard deviation (s.d.) above its mean forward P/E since initial public offering (IPO).



lamp9.25See also: NANOFILM: Has 31% Pullback Created a Better Risk-Reward Setup?




You may also be interested in:


 

We have 3723 guests and no members online

rss_2 NextInsight - Latest News