buysellhold july.23

 

CGS INTERNATIONAL

CGS INTERNATIONAL

Singapore Airlines

Temporary drop in earnings due to Iran war

 

■ We reduce our TP to S$6.77, now based on CY26F P/BV of 1.35x (+1.5 s.d. from mean since 2001) vs. P/BV of 1.45x (+2 s.d.) previously.

■ The cut in TP follows the 37% cut in our FY27F EPS as we believe both SIA and Air India will not be able to fully recover from the spike in fuel costs.

■ We reiterate Hold as we think that SIA could see a sharp yoy recovery in earnings in FY28F if oil prices decline upon the end of the Iran war.

 

 

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ST Engineering

A de-escalation breather

 

■ STE’s S$600m contract win for Kuwait’s naval force, soon after its Qatar MRO win in Feb 2026, reinforces its growing foothold in the Middle East.

■ Conversion of DPS orders could be lumpy while CA could see pushback of MRO orders. Upside could come from more USS work.

■ We think STE’s c.16% two-year core EPS growth is reflected at its 35x/30x FY26F/FY27F P/E. Downgrade to Hold with an unchanged TP of S$11.05.

 

 

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CGS INTERNATIONAL

UOB KAYHIAN

ComfortDelGro

Fuel risk under control

 

■ Better positioned as compared to 2022 fuel spike price with stronger margins secured and pass through mechanism in place.

■ Limited near-term impact, supported by hedging and recent fare increases to mitigate higher fuel cost for drivers, while demand remains largely resilient.

■ Reiterate Add with a decent dividend yield of 6% in 2026F.

 

 

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Strategy

Alpha Picks: Trump Tweets, Portfolio Bleeds

 

Highlights

• Our Mar 26 Alpha Picks underperformed the STI by 6.4ppt on an equalweighted basis.

• For Apr 26: Add FR and NTTDCR; remove ASL and CSE.

• Apr 26 Alpha Picks: CAO, CIT, FEH, FR, HLA, HUAGL, KEP, NTTDCR, OCBC, PROP, ST, SATS, UGAI and VALUE.

 

 

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LIM & TAN LIM & TAN

First REIT (S$0.245, down 1 ct) has announced a series of transactions (the “Proposed Divestments”) at an aggregate agreed property value of S$471.5 million, representing a 2.1% premium to valuation, and Put Option Agreements for the remaining six hospital assets in its Indonesia porƞ olio which will unlock approximately S$294.8 million when exercised.

First REIT’s market cap stands at S$518mln and trades at 1.0x P/B with a dividend yield of 8.9%. First REIT’s DPU has experienced DPU weakness in recent years, in part due to IDR/SGD foreign currency volaƟ lity which has impacted unitholder returns. The proposed divestments will allow First REIT to fully exit from the Indonesia market and refocus
on long-term growth in developed markets. As part of the ongoing Strategic Review, potential acquisitions in the Asia-Pacific region includes Singapore, Japan and Australia, and expansion into non-healthcare sectors. Consensus TP stands at $0.27, representing a 10% potential upside. Given the proposed divestments at a slight premium to valuations, full recovery of S$6.9mln rental arrears, and trading at 1.0x P/B while we await greater clarity of its entry into new markets, we maintain an "Accumulate on Weakness" recommendation on First Reit.

 

  

We highlight OKP Holding’s ($0.69, up 5 cent) FY25 annual report


OKP Holdings Limited delivered a strong performance in FY2025 despite operating in a challenging global environment marked by rising trade barriers, geopolitical tensions, and cost pressures. These macroeconomic uncertainties have weighed on business sentiment worldwide, including in Singapore. Nonetheless, the Group remains cautiously optimistic, supported by its longstanding track record, strong fundamentals, and alignment with Singapore’s continued investment in infrastructure and urban mobility.

 

OKP’s market cap stands at S$370mln and currently trades at 7.4x forward PE and carries a yield of 2.9%. We currently have a TP of $1.03, representing 49.3% upside potential. We maintain OKP as our top pick in the construction sector given the cheap valuations and strong cash position forming close to 40% of their current market cap, Impact from the war such as steel and oil remains minimal and we take this sell down as an opportunity to BUY OKP Holdings

 

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