buysellhold july.23

 

CGS INTERNATIONAL

UOB KAYHIAN

Sembcorp Industries

Sheltered from gas shocks

 

■ Investors’ questions during our 2-day NDR in Kuala Lumpur centered around impact from high gas prices, Alinta acquisition, and China RE curtailment.

■ Gas optimisation within the group and potential higher-than-expected spark spreads could provide some earnings upside, if global tensions persist.

■ Management reiterated its priority to gradually increase its dividend payout ratio to close to 60-70%, despite higher leverage from Alinta acquisition.

 

 

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UltraGreen.ai (UGAI SP)

Set To Benefit From Multiple Positive Developments

 

Highlights

• The recent cyberattack on Stryker provides a near-term opportunity for UltraGreen, as it could potentially increase demand for UltraGreen’s ICG vials.

• UltraGreen continues to build momentum in APAC, with several regulatory approvals obtained, supported by a strong net cash position.

• UltraGreen is trading at an attractive PE of 20x 2026F, 35% discount vs peers. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of US$1.95.

 

 

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OCBC GROUP RESEARCH

CGS INTERNATIONAL

SG Plantations: Substance over style

 

Summary Points
• We revise our 2026 average crude palm oil (CPO) price forecast to MYR4,300/mt from MYR4,200/mt. We expect CPO prices to stay elevated and volatile in the near term as market continues to assess crude oil, geopolitical risks, global vegetable oil supply, and
seasonal production trends. Further upside, however, will likely require stronger palm-specific fundamentals.
• Plantation stocks under our coverage reported strong FY25 results, supported by higher CPO prices. Regulatory overhang from Indonesia’s forestry land review has largely eased, with most companies having made provisions, barring further regulatory developments.
• Higher CPO prices are supportive of upstream plantation earnings but could be a double-edged sword for downstream businesses. We are constructive on the fundamentals of Bumitama Agri (BAL) and Wilmar International (WIL), but would look to accumulate the former on pullbacks.

 

Rubber Gloves

Aftershocks of the Strait of Hormuz closure

 

■ Malaysian glove producers are likely to face a minimal impact from higher raw material costs in the near-term.

■ Longer-term energy market dislocations could negatively impact production and demand.

■ Reiterate sector Underweight. Sector valuations are rich at CY27F 14.7x P/E despite ROEs at only 5.5%. Top Glove is our preferred pick.

 

 

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DBS GROUP RESEARCH CGS INTERNATIONAL

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corp

Capital story in-tact; margins could take flight amid turbulence

 

Investment Overview

CAO is Asia’s largest physical supplier of jet fuel and the key importer for China’s civil aviation sector, backed by its parent, China National Aviation Fuel Group (CNAF). CNAF’s role as China’s exclusive aviation-fuel distributor grants CAO privileged access to the country’s import market and a secure demand base. The company’s strength lies in its integrated network spanning procurement, logistics, and infrastructure, supported by associates such as SPIA and OKYC. The company has also emerged as an early adopter of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in Europe and parts of Asia, effectively leveraging its global supply expertise to meet the growing demand from airlines for lower-carbon fuel solutions.

 

 

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Marco Polo Marine

Awarded a 15-year charter contract

 

■ MPM secured a long-term contract worth S$118m to provide emergency services to Taiwan’s Marine Port Bureau for 15 years.

■ Implied charter rate is better than our expectations; we see limited upside to our FY26F-28F net profit estimates due to profit sharing.

■ Reiterate Add on multiple re-rating catalysts yet to materialise - contract for CSOV Plus, listing of Taiwan subsidiary, and newbuild order wins.

 

 

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