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PHILLIP SECURITIES 

CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDREIT SP)

Near-Term Uncertainty From Wuhan Coronavirus

 

 Downgrade to NEUTRAL from Buy with new TP of SGD 1.62 from SGD1.78, 4% upside. 4Q results were in line. We expect strong near-term headwinds for the Singapore hospitality sector due to the outbreak of Wuhan coronavirus with sharp slowdown in Chinese visitors expected. Amidst an uncertain near-term outlook, investors are likely to stay on the side lines from hospitality-related stocks. Overall impact to CDREIT’s portfolio, however, is mitigated by its diversified exposure and master lease structures.

 

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Singapore Exchange Limited

Deliberate Efforts to Grow

 

SINGAPORE | FINANCE | 2Q20 RESULTS

 SGX achieved 2Q20 revenue and net profit in line with our expectations.

 Positive business outlook expected across multiple segments; FICC grew 20% YoY, while DCI business grew a modest 4% YoY to S$26.7mn. The equities business came in flat.

 Acquired ‘Smart Beta’ index firm Scientific Beta for €186mn to propel DCI business.

 We maintain our NEUTRAL call with a revised TP of S$8.52. We peg our TP to 21.5x P/E, 1 SD below SGX’s 5-year mean. We will be expecting SGX’s acquisition plan to be EPS accretive in FY21. Our earnings forecast remains unchanged.

 

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MAYBANK KIM ENG CGS CIMB 

Ascott Residence Trust (ART SP)

Weaker Fundamentals

 

In line; prefer CDLHT, FEHT ART’s 4Q19 DPU rose 5.6%, helped by a capital distribution, otherwise it fell 10.3% YoY due to divestments of Ascott Raffles Place and Somerset Westlake Hanoi. Its AUM rose 31% to SGD7.4b after the AHT-merger, and NPI now tilts towards higher ‘stable income’. Australian contributions are rising but growth fundamentals seem weak due to new supply, while its Singapore exposure has also fallen. Its SGD160m in residual divestment gains should help boost capital distributions amid slower DPU growth. We prefer CDLHT (CDREIT, BUY, TP SGD1.75) and FEHT (FEHT SP, BUY, TP SGD0.80) for RevPAU recovery in 2020. We maintain our DDM-based TP at SGD1.40 (COE 7.1%, LTG 2.0%). HOLD.

 

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OUE Commercial REIT

Strong Singapore portfolio performance

 

■ 4Q19 DPU of 0.84 Scts was largely in line at 25.1% of our FY19 forecast.

■ Office portfolio continues to benefit from positive reversions, while higher room rate and occupancy boosts CPCA performance.

■ Reiterate Hold with a slightly lower DDM-based TP of S$0.56

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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