Yangzijiang Shipbuilding's share price gained 4.7% overnight to reach a 52-week high of S$1.555 on Tuesday (8 August) after it posted strong year-on-year growth in its 1HFY2017 earnings. Net profit attributable to shareholders was up 61% at RMB 1.4 billion.

Its order winning momentum has been strong. It secured new shipbuilding orders of US$832 million year-to-date, which is more than the total value of new orders secured during the entire year in FY2016.

Its outstanding order book was US$4 billion as at 30 June 2017, comprising of 85 vessels that will keep its yards utilized until 2020.


RenYuanLin 4.2016

“The growth of e-commerce, as well as China's Belt & Road initiative will stimulate international trade, where seaborne trade will continue to play a dominant role.”

- Ren Yuanlin
Executive Chairman

(NextInsight file photo)

Other highlights in 1HFY2017:

    1. Revenue as up 49% yoy at RMB 8.5 billion.
    2. Gross profit margin declined by 3 percentage points yoy to 20% due to lower vessel contract price.
    3. Orders for 19 vessels worth US$450m were secured in 1HFY2017.
    4. Gain of RMB 133.5 million on disposal of 4 shipping subsidiaries in 2QFY2017.
    5. Fair value gain of RMB 121.5 million on financial assets marked to market in 2Q2017.
    6. An order for a 82,000-dwt bulk carrier yet to be constructed was cancelled in 2Q2017.

During 2014 to 2016, global shipbuilding orders declined for 3 consecutive years. The industry downturn precipitated a global shipbuilding capacity decline of 57% from a peak of 931 shipbuilders in 2009 to 412 in 2016.

The market recovered in the first half of this year: New shipbuilding orders amounted to 9.2 million CGT, or 82% of global orders last year. The dry bulk carrier market was supported by a higher volume of iron ore transportation and the ease of overcapacity.

At its results briefing on Tuesday, Executive Chairman Ren Yuanlin said that he believes Yangzijiang and a handful of leading shipyards will continue to dominate the lion's share of all new shipbuilding orders.

He highlighted the Group's competitive advantages:

    • Large scale of operations compared to other private commercial shipyards
    • Nimble management compared to state-owned enterprises
    • Financial strength, helped by access to Singapore's financial markets and favorable interest rates
    • Significant tax contribution predisposes the PRC government to be more supportive in related pro-business initiatives


For more information, refer to its 1HFY2017 results media release here.


Below is an excerpt of the questions raised at the Group's 1HFY2017 results briefing, and the replies provided by Executive Chairman Ren Yuanlin and CFO Liu Hua.

 

Q: What is the market situation currently?

The recent orders that we received arose from vessel replacement demand. We are expecting more demand for vessels with better sulphur emission control next year due to industry regulations. There are not many enquiries for speculative orders. Vessel prices are at rock bottom.


LiuHua1 2.2015

“In 3Q2017, we expect to book a 10% tax refund for Xinfu Yard's New/High Technology Enterprise status accrued last year.”

- Liu Hua
CFO
(NextInsight file photo)

Most of the shipowners today are not traditional shipping companies like Seaspan or Peter Dohle.

The mainstream shipowners today are financial institutions that include US funds, PRC state-owned companies, and banks that offer vessel sale and leaseback structures to shipping companies. 

Q: Are all the financial leasing shipowners backed by shipping companies, or do they place speculative orders?

There are 3 types of shipowners today. The first type is the traditional shipping company that finances its vessel order by using the vessel as collateral for a bank loan.

The second type is a ship leasing company that has secured a 10 to 20-year vessel charter contract. Orders from such shipowners are likely to become more widespread as shipping companies are facing a financial crunch.

The third type is a fund management company that places a vessel order without a vessel charter contract. Several years ago, there were many orders from such shipowners. There are very few such orders now.

Q: What determines which shipyard gets the order? Is your relationship with the shipping company more important, or with the ship finance company?

Both scenarios exist. Sometimes, a shipping company decides to place its order with us and we go to the ship finance company together.

Q: Are state-owned yards at an advantage if the decision of which shipyard to give the order to lies mainly with the ship finance company, since many ship finance companies are subsidiaries of state-owned banks?

Yes, that view is correct. That is why we are telling the government that the way to help the industry is to level the playing field between SOEs and other players.

 

Stock price  S$1.555
52-week range 72c - S$1.555
Market cap S$6.0 billion
PE (ttm) 14.3 x
Dividend yield 2.62%
Source: StockFacts

Q: What technology trends are there?

There is increasing demand for cleantech vessels. We are in talks to secure more cleantech vessel orders. LNP/LPG vessels are an important business segment.

We are determined to enter this market even if it means sacrificing some profit margins. We also intend to build LNG/LPG carrier vessels with marine LNG engines.

The vessel delivery timeframe has shortened considerably over the past couple of decades. Technology plays an important role in the industry’s future.

 

Q: Will you maintain your dividend yield by increasing dividend amount now that your stock price is higher?

Our dividend policy is based on payout ratio as a function of earnings, rather than stock price.

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